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Red46
91909.0
478823.6
99895.1
Blue37
99931.8
99919.3
919121.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412902060801004637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
Unranked
23.60.6
22.022.6
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 2.5
9191
Unranked
21.11.0
17.718.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
9190
Unranked
9.01.0
11.512.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 0.3
9991
Unranked
9.31.0
4.55.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Third
9989
Unranked
5.11.0
3.54.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End0.8
red by 3.3
9993
Unranked
1.81.0
0.81.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed