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Red25
91909.0
650910.2
99924.2
Blue9
99931.8
99716.5
99942.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2916010204050607080259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6509
Unranked
10.20.2
7.77.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End1.9
red by 3.6
9971
Unranked
6.50.6
5.95.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
Second
9190
Unranked
9.00.2
10.911.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
red by 6.6
9994
Unranked
2.40.6
1.40.8
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.2
Third
9992
Unranked
4.20.2
2.62.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
red by 2.4
9993
Unranked
1.80.5
2.11.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed