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Red8
99924.2
99942.4
99876.0
Blue39
99981.4
99708.5
919121.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18310406080100839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9987
Unranked
6.00.1
5.15.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 15.2
9191
Unranked
21.11.4
18.219.6
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
9992
Unranked
4.20.1
2.82.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
blue by 4.3
9970
Unranked
8.51.4
6.37.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Third
9994
Unranked
2.40.1
0.80.7
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.2
red by 1.0
9998
Unranked
1.41.4
0.21.6
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed