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Red21
92755.7
99992.3
99919.3
Blue14
99895.1
99924.2
99977.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202051015253035402114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9991
Unranked
9.30.3
8.68.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 2.3
9997
Unranked
7.00.2
6.05.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Second
9275
Unranked
5.70.3
5.86.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End0.9
red by 0.6
9989
Unranked
5.10.2
5.75.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End0.8
Third
9999
Unranked
2.30.4
2.42.8
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 1.9
9992
Unranked
4.20.2
4.54.3
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed