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Red23
99942.4
99919.3
99956.4
Blue69
94339.1
99977.0
88766.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291804060802369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9991
Unranked
9.30.1
9.19.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 0.1
9433
Unranked
9.10.3
8.58.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Second
9995
Unranked
6.40.1
6.26.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
blue by 0.6
9997
Unranked
7.00.3
6.26.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Third
9994
Unranked
2.40.1
2.32.4
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.2
blue by 4.4
8876
Unranked
6.80.3
6.06.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0