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Red65
99931.8
999021.9
478823.6
Blue6
99895.1
99851.9
99716.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5113020406080100120656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
Unranked
23.60.4
22.823.2
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 17.1
9971
Unranked
6.50.2
7.16.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
Second
9990
Unranked
21.90.5
21.021.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.3
red by 16.8
9989
Unranked
5.10.2
5.55.3
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End0.8
Third
9993
Unranked
1.80.5
0.91.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
blue by 0.1
9985
Unranked
1.90.2
2.32.1
Auto0.2
Teleop1.1
End0.6