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Red27
99724.7
99708.5
99865.6
Blue68
94339.1
99977.0
88766.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25180103040506070802768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9970
Unranked
8.50.2
8.38.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
blue by 0.6
9433
Unranked
9.10.1
8.48.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Second
9986
Unranked
5.60.2
5.45.6
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 1.4
9997
Unranked
7.00.1
6.16.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Third
9972
Unranked
4.70.3
4.54.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 2.1
8876
Unranked
6.80.1
5.86.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0