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Red53
943226.1
26474.2
317916.8
Blue78
502623.5
641327.2
418322.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5052404555606570755378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.5
24.324.8
Auto10.1
Teleop14.8
End1.2
blue by 1.0
6413
#10
27.21.8
18.019.8
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Second
3179
#23
16.80.5
14.314.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
blue by 6.8
23.51.8
14.316.1
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End0.8
Third
2647
#37DQ
4.20.8
7.28.0
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End-0.2
blue by 18.1
22.31.8
14.416.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed