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Red56
29424.5
31877.5
116520.0
Blue38
544917.9
23758.6
301914.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48270204060801005638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#8
24.51.7
19.921.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End2.8
red by 6.6
5449
#18
17.90.6
13.414.0
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Second
1165
#13
20.01.0
14.515.5
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
red by 5.6
3019
#26
14.50.4
9.59.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Third
3187
#27
7.51.7
6.88.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 1.1
2375
#41
8.60.4
4.44.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed