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Red14
884818.5
775512.7
35776.9
Blue25
248612.8
77038.8
808711.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393001020506070801425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8848
#12
18.52.2
15.713.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 5.7
2486
#32
12.80.6
11.410.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Second
7755
#33
12.71.3
11.610.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 1.1
8087
#11
11.60.6
8.37.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Third
3577
#36
6.92.2
6.74.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 1.9
7703
#29
8.80.9
8.67.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed