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Red62
55398.5
641327.2
247815.2
Blue64
242919.6
385320.4
31877.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5052203040607080906264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6413
#10
27.20.4
23.323.8
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 6.8
20.40.1
21.421.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Second
2478
#16
15.20.4
14.615.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
blue by 4.4
19.60.1
17.417.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Third
5539
#40
8.50.6
7.68.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
red by 1.1
3187
#27
7.50.2
8.18.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsEarned