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Red58
808711.6
741919.6
385320.4
Blue49
242919.6
182812.3
977716.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58472040801005849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.6
21.621.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
red by 0.8
19.60.3
17.517.9
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Second
19.60.6
19.318.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.8
End0.7
red by 3.6
9777
#14
16.00.3
13.914.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Third
8087
#11
11.60.6
10.610.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.6
blue by 0.8
1828
#21
12.30.3
12.512.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed