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Red55
884818.5
67029.1
17267.6
Blue26
26474.2
635219.3
247815.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624120801005526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#1
29.10.6
25.625.0
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End0.5
red by 9.8
6352
#17
19.31.1
18.617.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Second
8848
#12
18.50.8
18.017.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 3.3
2478
#16
15.21.1
15.014.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
1726
#22
7.60.8
10.39.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End1.8
red by 3.4
2647
#37
4.21.4
6.24.8
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed