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Red52
266212.1
544917.9
68335.3
Blue38
394412.6
248612.8
385320.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315702040801005238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5449
#18
17.91.3
16.217.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
blue by 2.5
20.40.8
21.020.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Second
2662
#25
12.11.0
11.112.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.0
blue by 0.7
2486
#32
12.80.8
13.813.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Third
6833
#38
5.31.0
4.25.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
blue by 7.3
3944
#24
12.61.0
13.612.6
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed