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Red52
247815.2
248612.8
502623.5
Blue31
822.5
55398.5
775512.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434235404550555231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.5
13.714.2
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End0.8
red by 1.0
8
#15
22.50.5
15.314.8
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Second
2478
#16
15.20.5
12.513.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 2.5
7755
#33
12.70.5
14.514.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Third
2486
#32
12.80.5
12.813.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End0.9
red by 4.3
5539
#40
8.50.8
8.67.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed