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Red119
49835.1
67029.1
23758.6
Blue65
502623.5
301914.5
29424.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766720406010012014011965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
35.11.0
33.334.4
Auto6.9
Teleop27.5
End0.7
red by 10.6
294
#8
24.50.0
24.324.2
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End2.8
Second
670
#1
29.11.0
27.328.3
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End0.5
red by 5.5
23.50.0
23.323.3
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End0.8
Third
2375
#41
8.61.0
6.87.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.0
blue by 5.9
3019
#26
14.50.0
14.314.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1