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Red72
29424.5
301914.5
502623.5
Blue83
641327.2
741919.6
41469.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69632040801001207283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#8
24.50.2
24.224.5
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End2.8
blue by 2.7
6413
#10
27.20.3
27.527.9
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End1.0
Second
23.50.2
23.323.5
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End0.8
red by 3.9
19.60.3
20.020.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Third
3019
#26
14.50.2
14.214.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 4.8
4146
#30
9.60.3
10.010.3
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End0.6