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Red68
641327.2
741919.6
41469.6
Blue81
248612.8
822.5
418322.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57652040801001206881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6413
#10
27.20.3
25.926.2
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 4.7
8
#15
22.50.4
22.723.1
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Second
19.60.3
18.418.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.8
End0.7
blue by 2.6
22.30.4
22.522.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
Third
4146
#30
9.60.3
8.38.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End0.6
blue by 3.2
2486
#32
12.80.4
13.013.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End0.9