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Red50
418322.3
822.5
248612.8
Blue58
242919.6
116520.0
247815.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665940801001205058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#15
22.50.4
22.922.5
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End1.2
red by 2.4
1165
#13
20.00.1
19.920.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Second
22.30.4
22.722.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
red by 2.7
19.60.1
19.519.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End0.4
Third
2486
#32
12.80.4
13.212.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End0.9
blue by 2.4
2478
#16
15.20.1
15.115.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0