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Red59
943229.8
77038.1
248624.2
Blue78
641329.2
240329.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7070506080905978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.2
30.029.8
Auto13.4
Teleop15.9
End0.4
Level
29.80.1
29.729.8
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End0.9
Second
24.20.2
24.424.2
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End1.0
blue by 5.0
29.20.1
29.129.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End0.8
Third
7703
#10
8.10.2
8.28.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
red by 3.7
4.40.1
4.34.4
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End0.6