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Red39
385316.1
99977.2
116515.6
Blue38
99957.7
49825.1
99989.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474620304050603938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.3
16.115.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 9.0
498
#6
25.10.6
28.127.5
Auto6.3
Teleop18.6
End0.2
Second
15.60.3
18.718.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 6.5
9998
#18DQ
9.10.9
10.89.9
Auto8.0
Teleop0.1
End1.0
Third
9997
#17DQ
7.20.5
8.88.3
Auto6.4
Teleop0.2
End0.6
blue by 0.5
9995
#16DQ
7.70.9
7.46.5
Auto8.4
Teleop-1.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed