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Red28
99977.2
77038.1
Blue25
999912.8
99957.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32150102040506070802825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.30.1
9.39.4
Auto6.4
Teleop2.1
End0.7
blue by 3.5
9999
#15DQ
12.80.7
11.312.0
Auto8.8
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Second
7703
#10
8.10.1
9.39.4
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
red by 0.3
9995
#16DQ
7.70.7
7.37.9
Auto8.4
Teleop-1.3
End0.6
Third
9997
#17DQ
7.20.1
8.48.5
Auto6.4
Teleop0.2
End0.6
red by 2.8
4.40.7
0.51.2
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed