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Red55
237513.6
77038.1
385316.1
Blue48
943229.8
99957.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385002060801005548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.7
15.115.8
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
blue by 13.7
29.80.3
26.726.9
Auto13.4
Teleop15.9
End0.4
Second
13.60.7
10.411.1
Auto8.2
Teleop5.0
End0.4
red by 4.3
9.30.4
9.49.9
Auto6.4
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Third
7703
#10
8.10.7
9.410.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End0.7
red by 0.3
9995
#16DQ
7.70.4
7.98.4
Auto8.4
Teleop-1.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed