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Red22
775512.5
99977.2
999610.8
Blue64
385316.1
999912.8
240329.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27670204060801001201402264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7755
#11
12.50.6
12.511.9
Auto5.7
Teleop4.9
End1.9
blue by 17.3
29.80.5
27.327.8
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End0.9
Second
9996
#14DQ
10.81.0
10.39.3
Auto8.9
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 5.3
16.10.5
15.816.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Third
9997
#17DQ
7.21.0
8.47.5
Auto6.4
Teleop0.2
End0.6
blue by 5.6
9999
#15DQ
12.80.8
13.314.1
Auto8.8
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed