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Red36
775512.5
99989.1
Blue51
99977.2
641329.2
943229.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2275040601001203651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7755
#11
12.50.5
10.010.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.9
End1.9
blue by 17.3
29.80.8
26.926.0
Auto13.4
Teleop15.9
End0.4
Second
9.30.8
8.49.3
Auto6.4
Teleop2.1
End0.7
blue by 20.0
29.20.8
26.625.7
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End0.8
Third
9998
#18DQ
9.10.8
10.010.8
Auto8.0
Teleop0.1
End1.0
red by 1.9
9997
#17DQ
7.21.4
10.28.8
Auto6.4
Teleop0.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed