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Red14
99957.7
116515.6
Blue40
49825.1
237513.6
999912.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375601001502001440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.61.6
20.318.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.2
blue by 9.6
498
#6
25.10.7
28.828.1
Auto6.3
Teleop18.6
End0.2
Second
9995
#16DQ
7.72.7
10.17.4
Auto8.4
Teleop-1.3
End0.6
blue by 5.8
13.60.7
10.19.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.0
End0.4
Third
6.62.7
8.05.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 6.2
9999
#15DQ
12.81.2
11.910.7
Auto8.8
Teleop2.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed