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Red72
240329.8
641329.2
Blue75
385316.1
116515.6
775512.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69470204060801001207275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.3
28.428.7
Auto8.5
Teleop20.4
End0.9
red by 13.8
16.10.0
16.016.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Second
29.20.3
27.828.1
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End0.8
red by 13.7
15.60.0
15.515.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Third
4.40.4
2.52.9
Auto2.9
Teleop0.9
End0.6
blue by 8.1
7755
#11
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.9
End1.9