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Red42
77034.5
2486B18.3
418321.7
Blue24
635216.3
88489.8
498B9.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44421020305060704224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.2
20.520.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End0.5
red by 5.4
16.31.0
15.914.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Second
18.30.4
12.913.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 8.6
8848
#22
9.81.0
14.513.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End1.5
Third
7703
#10
4.50.2
5.55.7
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.7
blue by 4.7
9.11.7
8.97.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed