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Red26
943217.5
23759.2
Blue73
6014.7
418321.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404402060801001202673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9432
#20
17.50.7
22.021.3
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End0.5
blue by 4.2
21.70.8
20.521.3
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Second
2375
#21
9.20.7
11.210.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.9
End0.4
blue by 5.5
60
#15
14.70.8
14.114.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Third
3.20.7
3.02.3
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
blue by 0.4
3.60.8
4.25.1
Auto2.4
Teleop0.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed