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Red38
240327.6
90914.7
Blue30
943217.5
77034.5
635216.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4565020801001201401603830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.3
29.829.5
Auto9.4
Teleop17.5
End0.7
red by 10.1
9432
#20
17.52.4
29.827.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End0.5
Second
9091
#17
4.70.3
5.75.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.1
End1.3
blue by 11.6
16.32.4
18.315.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9
Third
2.61.5
5.06.5
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.2
End0.9
blue by 1.8
7703
#10
4.52.4
8.15.7
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed