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Red52
418321.7
240327.6
Blue30
41468.3
23759.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions652902040801001201401605230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.1
29.529.4
Auto9.4
Teleop17.5
End0.7
red by 18.3
2375
#21
9.20.1
12.612.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.9
End0.4
Second
21.70.1
20.620.5
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End0.5
red by 13.5
4146
#14
8.30.1
10.710.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Third
3.20.2
4.13.9
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
red by 0.6
2.60.2
6.56.3
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed