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Red41
775513.2
90914.7
Blue45
641328.4
77034.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294402060801004145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.20.2
10.710.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End2.2
blue by 15.2
28.40.2
28.328.1
Auto7.1
Teleop20.7
End0.6
Second
9091
#17
4.70.2
5.45.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.1
End1.3
red by 0.3
7703
#10
4.50.2
5.75.5
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.7
Third
3.60.3
11.912.2
Auto0.9
Teleop2.6
End0.0
red by 0.4
3.20.2
3.93.7
Auto2.9
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed