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Red78
498B9.1
240327.6
641328.4
Blue51
2486B18.3
635216.3
418321.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726202040801001201401607851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.2
27.928.2
Auto7.1
Teleop20.7
End0.6
red by 6.6
21.70.3
22.221.9
Auto7.8
Teleop13.4
End0.5
Second
27.60.2
27.127.3
Auto9.4
Teleop17.5
End0.7
red by 9.2
18.30.4
18.918.5
Auto9.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
9.10.3
8.58.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 7.2
16.30.3
16.816.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.5
End1.9