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Red56
635214.1
240327.3
248621.9
Blue75
2486B18.7
775512.0
385318.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73470204060801001201405675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.2
27.127.0
Auto9.0
Teleop17.8
End0.5
red by 8.6
18.70.4
17.417.8
Auto10.0
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Second
2486
#15
21.90.2
21.721.6
Auto6.2
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 3.3
18.60.4
17.317.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Third
14.10.2
13.913.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 2.1
7755
#20
12.00.4
10.711.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End1.8