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Red52
116513.3
385318.6
9091-0.2
Blue21
9918.8
90598.7
943212.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314201002003004005005221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.61.4
14.816.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.1
red by 6.2
9432
#22
12.41.0
16.615.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Second
13.31.4
11.312.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 4.5
991
#4
8.81.0
11.510.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
9091
#25
-0.21.4
2.84.2
Auto0.0
Teleop-1.4
End1.2
blue by 9.0
9059
#21
8.71.0
8.47.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed