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Red51
248621.9
385318.6
39448.8
Blue12
943212.4
97048.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5924040801001205112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#15
21.90.2
21.321.1
Auto6.2
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 9.6
9432
#22
12.40.9
13.512.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Second
18.60.2
16.316.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.1
red by 10.3
9704
#10
8.30.9
9.78.7
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.0
Third
3944
#19
8.80.2
11.211.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End1.6
red by 8.0
0.80.9
2.81.8
Auto2.0
Teleop-1.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed