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Red37
90598.7
41469.5
116513.3
Blue31
77035.1
247811.9
943212.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3331102040503731

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.30.6
12.212.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 0.9
9432
#22
12.40.2
12.612.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End0.5
Second
9.50.6
8.48.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 2.4
2478
#13
11.90.2
11.611.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End0.9
Third
9059
#21
8.70.6
8.28.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 3.6
7703
#16
5.10.2
5.35.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed