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Red15
90598.7
775512.0
Blue32
6989.3
385318.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303902060801001201401532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7755
#20
12.01.5
13.211.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 6.5
18.60.5
16.115.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Second
9059
#21
8.71.5
11.39.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 0.6
698
#11
9.30.5
14.814.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Third
0.81.5
3.21.7
Auto2.0
Teleop-1.9
End0.6
blue by 2.2
3.00.7
3.62.9
Auto0.5
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed