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Red80
635214.1
240327.3
248621.9
Blue13
49820.5
9918.8
97048.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723802060801001201408013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.2
26.726.9
Auto9.0
Teleop17.8
End0.5
red by 6.8
498
#6
20.50.6
20.820.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.5
Second
2486
#15
21.90.2
21.321.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 13.1
991
#4
8.80.6
9.18.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Third
14.10.2
13.513.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 5.9
9704
#10
8.30.6
8.57.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.0