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Red44
97048.3
9918.8
49820.5
Blue43
41469.5
116513.3
247811.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3940203050604443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#6
20.50.1
20.220.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.5
red by 7.2
13.30.1
13.213.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Second
991
#4
8.80.1
8.58.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End1.3
blue by 3.1
2478
#13
11.90.1
11.911.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.0
End0.9
Third
9704
#10
8.30.1
7.98.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
9.50.1
9.49.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.7
End1.1