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Red41
647914.1
385318.0
2486B19.2
Blue104
943217.3
248623.0
116517.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5861020408010012014016041104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.3
19.719.5
Auto11.2
Teleop7.2
End0.8
blue by 3.7
23.00.6
22.022.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.3
End0.9
Second
3853
#13
18.00.3
18.518.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End0.9
red by 0.3
17.80.6
16.817.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Third
14.10.3
14.614.4
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End0.8
blue by 3.1
17.30.6
16.316.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End0.8