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Red60
418322.6
641320.9
943217.3
Blue35
90911.3
237510.6
49817.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7825040601001201406035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.3
23.222.9
Auto8.5
Teleop13.5
End0.7
red by 5.3
498
#29
17.30.1
19.019.1
Auto6.2
Teleop10.9
End0.2
Second
6413
#17
20.90.3
27.226.9
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End0.6
red by 10.4
10.60.1
8.99.0
Auto6.3
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Third
17.30.3
13.813.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End0.8
red by 15.9
9091
#27
1.30.1
0.90.9
Auto0.8
Teleop-0.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed