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Red10
28402.6
90911.3
Blue15
90598.2
7755B-0.4
301912.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7260204060801001015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4.10.4
4.54.1
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.3
blue by 8.2
12.30.4
12.712.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Second
2840
#36
2.60.3
2.92.6
Auto0.8
Teleop0.4
End1.3
blue by 5.6
9059
#16
8.20.4
8.68.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.5
End1.0
Third
9091
#27
1.30.3
1.61.3
Auto0.8
Teleop-0.7
End1.2
red by 1.7
-0.40.4
0.1-0.4
Auto1.4
Teleop-2.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed