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Red21
775513.8
Blue69
116517.8
943217.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203801001502002503002169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7755
#26
13.80.3
12.011.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End2.5
blue by 4.0
17.81.5
13.314.8
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Second
4.30.5
5.95.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.2
End0.0
blue by 13.0
17.31.5
12.413.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End0.8
Third
1.50.4
2.62.2
Auto1.2
Teleop0.1
End0.2
blue by 2.6
4.10.9
8.08.9
Auto2.9
Teleop0.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed