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Red85
49821.5
240327.8
45659.6
Blue22
775512.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671504060801001201408522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.4
24.925.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End0.5
red by 15.8
7755
#11
12.00.2
11.912.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Second
498
#1
21.50.4
20.120.5
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End0.5
red by 16.6
4.90.2
4.24.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.7
Third
4565
#13
9.60.4
9.39.7
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.1
red by 5.3
4.40.2
3.43.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed