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Red50
45659.6
775512.0
Blue21
116515.3
26627.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282825303540455021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7755
#11
12.00.0
12.012.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 3.3
15.30.5
16.215.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Second
4565
#13
9.60.0
9.79.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End1.1
red by 2.3
2662
#28
7.40.5
7.97.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Third
3.40.0
3.43.4
Auto3.0
Teleop-0.4
End0.8
red by 3.0
0.40.5
1.00.4
Auto1.0
Teleop-1.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed