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Red46
641319.2
248624.1
Blue49
385319.0
49821.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524002060801001201404649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#18
24.10.0
21.922.0
Auto8.0
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 2.6
498
#1
21.50.8
16.317.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.5
End0.5
Second
6413
#22
19.20.0
20.720.7
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End0.6
red by 0.2
19.00.8
18.519.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End1.0
Third
2.60.0
2.92.9
Auto1.6
Teleop0.1
End0.9
blue by 1.6
4.31.2
2.84.0
Auto0.3
Teleop3.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed