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Red68
394415.7
49823.7
647917.3
Blue86
6016.6
943227.7
116516.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57602040801001206886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
23.70.7
20.120.9
Auto4.7
Teleop18.2
End0.8
blue by 3.9
27.71.8
22.424.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
Second
17.30.7
17.918.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End0.9
red by 0.7
60
#6
16.61.8
17.018.7
Auto6.1
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Third
3944
#12
15.70.7
14.014.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.2
End1.9
blue by 0.8
1165
#19
16.51.8
14.916.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed