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Red44
414612.7
770311.3
647917.3
Blue53
635218.4
77559.4
970414.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405002060801001201404453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.5
18.619.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End0.9
blue by 1.1
6352
#10
18.40.6
15.716.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End1.4
Second
4146
#18
12.70.5
9.19.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4
blue by 1.9
14.60.6
13.814.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End0.1
Third
7703
#14
11.30.5
9.49.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.7
red by 1.9
7755
#17
9.40.6
14.214.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed