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Red100
943227.7
641329.4
385324.0
Blue35
414612.7
6016.6
248624.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7758204010012014016010035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.42.0
22.724.7
Auto7.9
Teleop20.2
End1.3
red by 4.9
24.51.3
26.725.4
Auto9.6
Teleop14.0
End0.8
Second
27.72.0
24.126.2
Auto9.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
red by 11.1
60
#6
16.61.3
18.717.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.6
End1.9
Third
24.02.0
20.822.9
Auto6.7
Teleop16.6
End0.7
red by 11.3
4146
#18
12.71.3
9.58.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed2%Ensemble oddsMissed